Right before the election I said that Bush would
get re-elected because he would hang on to Florida and
Ohio and pick up one or more of New Mexico, Iowa and
Wisconsin (he won two out of the three). I also predicted
that Bush would lose New Hampshire to Kerry, but that it
wouldn’t matter. Acknowledge my political prowess!
I’m not particularly
enthused about the results of this election, as I’m
not looking forward to another four years of the arrogant
unilateralism, crony capitalism and pandering to the
fundamentalist right that the Bush administration
represents, but the voters of this nation have spoken.
And I’m glad it’s over. This election was ugly
and hateful and neither side should be particularly
pleased with the way they conducted themselves.
As for the result, the
Democrats really only have themselves to blame. Bush was
very vulnerable and probably could have been defeated by
a better candidate. But the Democrats chose an
uninspiring northeastern liberal (didn’t the
Democrats learn anything from Michael Dukakis?) with a
murky, contradictory voting record. Kerry couldn’t
articulate his plans or visions in a manner that the
voter could understand; he couldn’t shake his
reputation as a “flip-flopper,” and he did a
poor job of defending himself against character attacks
from opponents such as the so-called Swift Vote Vets for
Truth. He chose to attack Bush where he was strongest by
focusing on the war in Iraq and didn’t spend enough
time attacking Bush where he was weakest, such as on
health care costs or prescription drug benefits. Simply
put, Kerry was a lousy candidate who ran a lousy
campaign.
Being the “we’re
not Bush” party just wasn’t enough for the
Democrats. They needed to give the electorate somebody to
vote *for* as well, and they didn’t do it with John
Kerry.
The Republicans saw the
election as a huge victory, because in addition to Bush's
successful re-election they were able to increase their
margins in the House and the Senate (even adding insult
to injury to the Democrats by ousting Senate Minority
Leader Tom Daschle). However, boasts of a Republican
"mandate" are merely rhetoric.
The nation is
still bitterly divided and extremely polarized. 51% of
the voting public supports Bush; 49% voted for somebody
else. Deep divisions remain along urban /rural and
secular/evangelical lines. Although this nasty election
is over, the political climate in this nation will
unfortunately remain ugly for a long time to come.
(Retroblogged on August 23, 2015. Eight years later, the Republicans would make a similar mistake, choosing an uninspiring northeastern elite with a murky and contradictory record, Mitt Romney, to run against the otherwise-vulnerable Barack Obama.)
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