Coronavirus cases surge in Houston

Houstonians were hoping to emerge from lockdown to find the Coronavirus pandemic behind us. Unfortunately, that's not what's happening:

An explosion of the novel coronavirus in Houston has put the nation's third-largest* city at the epicenter of the nation's public health crisis as hospitals fill and officials warn of impending catastrophe.

Harris County officials reported a shocking 1,994 new coronavirus cases on Tuesday alone, a new record. The county has reported more than 1,000 new cases on three of the last four days. Models show the number of cases rising over the next four weeks. 

“We're approaching a precipice of disaster,” County Judge Lina Hidalgo (D) told reporters at a briefing this week. “We're looking at very, very concerning numbers in our hospital population that are getting worse by the day.”

Harris County has confirmed more than 23,000 coronavirus cases since the outbreak began. About 330 people have died. Neighboring Fort Bend County has reported another 3,100 cases.

It's not just the Houston area; all of Texas is experiencing a surge in coronavirus cases (that we should have seen coming). Yesterday Governor Greg Abbott ordered bars statewide to close and announced other restrictions, while here in Harris County Judge Lena Hidalgo issued a countywide stay-at-home advisory. While local physicians have applauded these attempts to slow the trend of virus transmission, it may be too little too late.

Quite simply, people here (as in the rest of the country) have become fatigued by the lockdowns, social distancing orders, and other restrictions designed to slow the spread of the virus. Now, with summer upon us, Americans might be giving up on the fight against the pandemic altogether:

For several weeks at the beginning of the outbreak in the U.S., the need to control the virus took precedence over other concerns. Now, for many people, the pandemic is no longer the most pressing national issue. As protesters and some public-health officials have said they are weighing the harms of police violence against the risk of increased viral spread and choosing to gather in the streets, state governments have made similar risk-reward arguments about balancing public-health and economic concerns. The virus does not care about these trade-offs. Retail reopenings and racial-justice protests may exist on different moral planes, but to the virus they both present new environments for spreading. 

Maybe the U.S. will somehow avoid another New York–style outbreak. Maybe the number of new infections will not grow exponentially. Maybe treatments have sufficiently improved that we will see huge outbreaks, but fewer people will die than we’ve come to expect. If so, it won’t be because the United States made concerted, coordinated decisions about how to balance the horrors of the pandemic and the frustration of pausing everyday life. Instead, the United States has moved from attempting to beat the virus to managing the harm of losing.

It's for this reason that another round of shutdowns is unlikely. It's frustrating to realize that we've essentially squandered three months of a social and economic shutdown aimed at combatting the virus, but that's the reality of where we are right now. At this point I fear that we're going to have to continue to limp through this pandemic until either a vaccine becomes available or herd immunity is achieved (at the cost of tens of thousands of more lives).

So stay at home as much as you can, wash your hands, and wear your damn mask when you're out.

Kuff has more, including how we got here.

(*This is an error on The Hill's part. Houston hasn't passed Chicago yet and is still #4.)