As my readers (if there are any of them remaining) may have noticed, this blog has not seen a lot of activity lately. There are several reasons for this, from the fact that my home computer is not working properly (it has an annoying habit of randomly shutting down, so I need to get it repaired), to the fact that changes in my personal life have left me less time to blog (did I mention that I have a new girlfriend!?!?), to the fact that I just haven't found much of anything interesting to write about lately (football season is over, I haven't taken any major travels since last summer, and the presidential race disgusts me).
So, I'm going to be taking a break from Mean Green Cougar Red for awhile. While this is not the "permanent hiatus" I keep threatening to make, it is likely that this will be my last post for a few months. Aside from getting my computer fixed, there are a lot of important activities I need to undertake over the next few months - among them, deciding on a middle school for Kirby, moving out of my home of the last four years when the lease is up, and oh, did I mention that I have a new girlfriend!? - that will leave no time for blogging.
If I come across or experience something that I urgently feel the need to write about, I will; otherwise, I'll probably be back at the keyboard sometime this summer.
Take care!
The irregular and disjointed rantings and ramblings of a lifelong inside-the-loop Houstonian, dedicated urbanist, enthusiastic traveler and loyal University of Houston Cougar fan, who also roots for the University of North Texas Mean Green.
Friday, March 25, 2016
Will the oil bust cost Houston its international air connections?
Anybody who follows this blog knows that I have been obsessively covering the additions (and subtractions) to the list of international air connections from Bush Intercontinental (and Hobby) airport to the rest of the world. As Houston's population and economy have grown, so has the city's status as an international air travel hub. However, problems in the energy sector could slow or even reverse that trend.
While I'd hope that Houston's population is large enough, and its economy diversified enough, to continue to make this city a lucrative destination for international carriers, it's possible that we will see at least a few airlines discontinue service to Houston before things get better.
Declining demand for business-class tickets due to the slumping oil business could make it more difficult for the Houston Airport System to continue luring international airlines.
"It won't be as easy as it was in the past," system director Mario Diaz said Monday after a State of the Airport event sponsored by the Greater Houston Partnership.
More than 10 international airlines - including Air China in 2013 and Air New Zealand last year - have added flights to Bush Intercontinental Airport since 2013. Many of those airlines were drawn by the chance to sell higher-margin seats to business travelers during the height of the oil boom.
They and other airlines remain committed to Houston, although some are now flying smaller planes or reducing the frequency of flights, Diaz said. Scandinavian Airlines stopped its nonstop flights between Bush Intercontinental and Stavanger, Norway, in late October.Emirates, likewise, has discontinued using the double-decker A380 on its flights between Houston and Dubai, opting to use a smaller 777 instead. And by virtue of being Houston's largest single carrier, United is especially exposed to the pinch:
United Airlines, the major carrier at Bush, said Monday that low oil prices had disproportionately affected its business travel. Earlier this year, United said it would shift capacity from Houston to more robust airports.Unfortunately, the prospects for recovery in the price of crude, at least in the short-term, are highly dubious. And while I appreciate Diaz's desire to put a positive spin on the situation, I'm not sure I'm buying this:
If low oil prices persist for more than a year and a half, Diaz said, some of the smaller airlines may be "rethinking the value of remaining in Houston."
But there is a silver lining for tourists or the friends-and-family traveler. With low fuel prices, he said some airlines are offering cheaper economy tickets to help offset the decline in business travel.Selling cheaper economy tickets will not likely recoup the revenue lost from selling pricey business-class tickets, unfortunately.
"I think the Houston public can expect a really, really good vacation," he said.
While I'd hope that Houston's population is large enough, and its economy diversified enough, to continue to make this city a lucrative destination for international carriers, it's possible that we will see at least a few airlines discontinue service to Houston before things get better.
Wednesday, March 23, 2016
A "Purple" alternative for I-45 downtown
I actually became of Purple City’s impressive plan for the “downtown ring” – an alternative to TxDOT’s plans for completely reconstructing I-45 in and around downtown Houston – over a week ago, but haven’t had the chance to offer my two cents’ worth until now.
In a nutshell: it’s excellent.
It addresses a lot of flaws in the TxDOT plan. For example, the “managed express” (toll and high-occupancy vehicle) lanes that are discontinuous in the TxDOT plan are connected via the Pierce Elevated in the Purple City plan, meaning that buses and toll-paying vehicles traveling from Kingwood to the Texas Medical Center, or from Pearland to The Woodlands, don’t have to merge into general traffic lanes in order to get around downtown. The Purple City plan also retains the Polk Street crossing over 59/69 on the east end of downtown that the TxDOT design eliminates; a major flaw that will have an impact on car as well as transit operations between downtown and the east end.
Most importantly, the Purple City alternative asks an obvious question about the TxDOT plan: what is the logic in tearing down the Pierce Elevated, only to replace it by condemning almost 20 blocks of land on the east side of downtown to create a wide trench for 59/69 and 45?
I have a few quibbles with the Purple City alternative. For example, it replaces the planned University Line light rail along Richmond with a bus rapid transit line running between the University of Houston and the intersection of Westpark and Post Oak using managed lanes along 69/59. While this is a sensible transit service - it would require replacing the existing single, reversible HOV lane along 59/69 with a two-way, all-day structure, which needs to happen anyway – it would be of no benefit to the mixed-use, transit-friendly neighborhoods of Montrose and Upper Kirby that the University Line would serve. It also significantly reduces the potential for over-the-freeway deck parks that are a feature of the TxDOT plan.
All in all, however, the Purple City plan for I-45 has a lot of advantages over the TxDOT plan. Which raises the question: now that Purple City has put so much thought and effort into this alternate schematic, what's next? This plan has apparently been presented to TxDOT, which is an obvious first step, but will Purple City also be presenting this plan to area stakeholders, to the management districts in and around downtown, to decision-making bodies such as City Council, the METRO Board of Directors, and the H-GAC Transportation Policy Council?
Take a look at the report and the schematic, and stay tuned. Swamplot and Kuff have more.
On a not-entirely-unrelated note: while Houston decides what to do with their existing freeways in and around downtown, Lafayette, Louisiana is deciding if they want a new freeway to go through their downtown at all. In my grad school report about urban freeway aesthetics, I used I-49 through Lafayette as an example that urban freeway-building, for all the issues it creates, is not dead. I'll be following this story closely.
In a nutshell: it’s excellent.
It addresses a lot of flaws in the TxDOT plan. For example, the “managed express” (toll and high-occupancy vehicle) lanes that are discontinuous in the TxDOT plan are connected via the Pierce Elevated in the Purple City plan, meaning that buses and toll-paying vehicles traveling from Kingwood to the Texas Medical Center, or from Pearland to The Woodlands, don’t have to merge into general traffic lanes in order to get around downtown. The Purple City plan also retains the Polk Street crossing over 59/69 on the east end of downtown that the TxDOT design eliminates; a major flaw that will have an impact on car as well as transit operations between downtown and the east end.
Most importantly, the Purple City alternative asks an obvious question about the TxDOT plan: what is the logic in tearing down the Pierce Elevated, only to replace it by condemning almost 20 blocks of land on the east side of downtown to create a wide trench for 59/69 and 45?
In the East End, the 9/15 Plan demolishes the entire entertainment and nightlife district that has grown up around Saint Emanuel Street. This segment of the plan alone removes more land from the tax rolls than removal of the Pierce Elevated will add, assuming that corridor is redeveloped commercially.The Purple City alternative hits on a variety of issues near and dear to my heart, including urban highway aesthetics. For example, can elevated highways be retrofitted to be more “urban-friendly?” The plan also reduces the need for right-of-way consuming frontage roads, eliminates confusing left-hand exists, and focuses on bicycle and transit connections in a way that the TxDOT plan does not.
I have a few quibbles with the Purple City alternative. For example, it replaces the planned University Line light rail along Richmond with a bus rapid transit line running between the University of Houston and the intersection of Westpark and Post Oak using managed lanes along 69/59. While this is a sensible transit service - it would require replacing the existing single, reversible HOV lane along 59/69 with a two-way, all-day structure, which needs to happen anyway – it would be of no benefit to the mixed-use, transit-friendly neighborhoods of Montrose and Upper Kirby that the University Line would serve. It also significantly reduces the potential for over-the-freeway deck parks that are a feature of the TxDOT plan.
All in all, however, the Purple City plan for I-45 has a lot of advantages over the TxDOT plan. Which raises the question: now that Purple City has put so much thought and effort into this alternate schematic, what's next? This plan has apparently been presented to TxDOT, which is an obvious first step, but will Purple City also be presenting this plan to area stakeholders, to the management districts in and around downtown, to decision-making bodies such as City Council, the METRO Board of Directors, and the H-GAC Transportation Policy Council?
Take a look at the report and the schematic, and stay tuned. Swamplot and Kuff have more.
On a not-entirely-unrelated note: while Houston decides what to do with their existing freeways in and around downtown, Lafayette, Louisiana is deciding if they want a new freeway to go through their downtown at all. In my grad school report about urban freeway aesthetics, I used I-49 through Lafayette as an example that urban freeway-building, for all the issues it creates, is not dead. I'll be following this story closely.
Labels:
highways,
houstonia,
public transportation,
urban design
Friday, February 19, 2016
Bayport cruise terminal likely to close
Can't say I'm too surprised about this:
In the end, perhaps trying to operate two separate cruise terminals within a relatively short distance of one another was simply too ambitious. It's probably best for the Port of Houston to focus on what it does best - being one of the largest maritime freight terminals in the nation - and let the Port of Galveston handle cruise passengers.
Royal Caribbean and Carnival will continue to operate out of the Galveston terminal. No word as to whether NCL or Princess will one day operate ships from there as well.
An ambitious, expensive and maybe misguided project to lure the cruise ship industry to Houston, and perhaps away from Galveston, is failing and will most likely be re-purposed for another use.
“I understand the port is considering several options -- one to use it as a retrofit for incoming automobiles,” said Sen. John Whitmire.
The Port of Houston would not confirm specific plans for Pasadena’s Bayport Cruise Terminal.
“There are other opportunities it can be used for and we’re going to continue to explore those opportunities,” Port of Houston Executive Director Roger Guenther said.
Both Norwegian Cruise Lines and Princess Cruises confirmed to Channel 2 Investigates the companies’ plans to remove their ships from the Port of Houston’s $108 million cruise terminal after the current season ends.
“The cruise lines have made a decision, a business decision, to go elsewhere,” Guenther, said.
As early as late April, the cruise terminal will be left with no cruise ships, a familiar problem.
The facility sat unused for its intended purpose for about six years before NCL and Princess Cruises signed on in 2012.Given how cheaply NCL and Princess had been offering staterooms on cruises out of this terminal - I kept my eye on them because I was considering vacationing on one of them - it was clear that this facility was struggling to attract travelers. Its location was a liability, as Pasadena is nobody's idea of a tourist paradise, even if you're just going there to get on a ship:
“All you (have) to do is look at the location and use some common sense,” Whitmire said.
The Port of Houston’s cruise terminal, located in Pasadena, is at the end of a road that's home to heavy industry.I also seem to recall hearing that heavy fog over the bay was also an issue, as it impeded ships from being able to navigate to the Bayport terminal in time for their scheduled disembarkation. That's not quite as much of a problem at Galveston, because it is closer to the open waters of the Gulf.
But the bigger problem in terms of location, Whitmire said, is for the cruise lines themselves, a point also made by Sen. Paul Bettencourt.
“In the end, you’ve got a logistical problem," Bettencourt said. "You’re moving a boat farther up the Ship Channel than what can be serviced by competitors right down in Galveston."
The trip from the Port of Houston’s Bayport Cruise Ship Terminal adds hours to time spent in intercoastal waters, where onboard casinos are not licensed to operate.
In the end, perhaps trying to operate two separate cruise terminals within a relatively short distance of one another was simply too ambitious. It's probably best for the Port of Houston to focus on what it does best - being one of the largest maritime freight terminals in the nation - and let the Port of Galveston handle cruise passengers.
Royal Caribbean and Carnival will continue to operate out of the Galveston terminal. No word as to whether NCL or Princess will one day operate ships from there as well.
Are you ready to travel to Cuba?
It's about to get a lot easier:
Even if flights between Houston and Cuba become a reality, there's still a catch: American citizens still can't travel there as tourists. Your travel has to be focused around one or more of twelve categories of allowable travel. But even then, the categories are broad enough to allow people to get creative:
Houston's two dominant airlines are seeking approval to offer scheduled flights to Cuba.
On Tuesday, U.S. and Cuban officials signed an agreement previously announced in December that will restore scheduled air service between the countries.
United Airlines said in a statement that it will apply for flights between some of its global gateways and Havana.
Henry Harteveldt, founder of San Francisco-based Atmosphere Research Group, a travel industry research company, said it is possible that United will offer flights from Houston to Cuba, but the airline will ultimately choose airports based on the largest market opportunity.
Southwest Airlines will also contend for the coveted flights.Houston is not guaranteed any direct flights to Cuba; the airlines themselves will determine where the flights to Havana and nine other Cuban airports will originate and I'm sure Miami and New York will get the lion's share of those flights. That being said, given Bush Intercontinental's status as United's Latin American gateway, I'd be very surprised if Houston didn't eventually end up with some sort of nonstop service to Cuba.
Even if flights between Houston and Cuba become a reality, there's still a catch: American citizens still can't travel there as tourists. Your travel has to be focused around one or more of twelve categories of allowable travel. But even then, the categories are broad enough to allow people to get creative:
"Almost every American should be able to travel to Cuba under one of these categories," Sen. Jeff Flake, a major sponsor of the new policy, told me last month. One lawyer who specializes in Cuba-US issues told the New York Times that if you can’t think up an itinerary that fits into one of the 12 categories, "you’re not trying." This doesn’t mean you need to be deceptive or dishonest. Instead, you can build a trip around the broad and inclusive language of the new regulations. Be forthright about the reason of your trip, and be ready to show an itinerary in the unlikely event that an American customs worker asks you for one.Should flights between Houston and Havana ever become a reality, I think I will need to do some professional research on Havana's bus system, or its commuter rail network!
The categories all contain the qualifier that your time in Cuba will not "include free time or recreation in excess of that consistent with a full-time schedule."
The language is meant to discourage lolling on the beach and lazily sipping mojitos at your hotel bar. As long as you have productive plans that fall within your category of choice, you can honestly certify that your travel is legal, even if you take a couple of extra hours to absorb the view while visiting the historic Morro Castle.
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
2016 UH Cougar football schedule released
Last week, the 2016 University of Houston Cougar football schedule was released:
Sat Sep 03 Oklahoma (Advocare Texas Kickoff, NRG Stadium)
Sat Sep 10 Lamar
Thu Sep 15 at Cincinnati
Sat Sep 24 at Texas State
Thu Sep 29 UConn
Sat Oct 08 at Navy
Sat Oct 15 Tulsa
Sat Oct 22 at SMU
Sat Oct 29 UCF
Sat Nov 05 (off)
Sat Nov 12 Tulane
Thu Nov 17 Louisville
Fri Nov 25 at Memphis
All in all, a pretty good schedule. The Coogs play two schools from “Power 5” conferences, including a blockbuster season opener against the Sooners at NRG Stadium. Two of the Coogs’ five away games are in-state, and there’s only one instance of back-to-back road games early in the season. The Cougars spend what amounts to a month at home between the SMU game and a Black Friday matchup at Memphis.
I could do without the two Thursday night home games – those always negatively impact attendance – and I would prefer the off week to be a couple of weeks earlier, but really, there’s nothing horrible about this slate of games. I’m already penciling in roadies to San Marcos and Annapolis on my calendar.
Given last year’s success, there’s every reason to expect this fall to be a good one as well. I’m not going to go so far as to predict an undefeated season, however; Oklahoma is going to be tough, Central Florida and Tulane will probably be much improved this fall, and Cincinnati, Navy and Memphis will all be looking to exact revenge against Houston at home. There’s also the reality that the Cougars are losing a lot of talent from last year’s team on both sides of the ball.
That being said, it's hard not to be excited about the 2016 season, and the wait until September is going to be very agonizing!
Sat Sep 03 Oklahoma (Advocare Texas Kickoff, NRG Stadium)
Sat Sep 10 Lamar
Thu Sep 15 at Cincinnati
Sat Sep 24 at Texas State
Thu Sep 29 UConn
Sat Oct 08 at Navy
Sat Oct 15 Tulsa
Sat Oct 22 at SMU
Sat Oct 29 UCF
Sat Nov 05 (off)
Sat Nov 12 Tulane
Thu Nov 17 Louisville
Fri Nov 25 at Memphis
All in all, a pretty good schedule. The Coogs play two schools from “Power 5” conferences, including a blockbuster season opener against the Sooners at NRG Stadium. Two of the Coogs’ five away games are in-state, and there’s only one instance of back-to-back road games early in the season. The Cougars spend what amounts to a month at home between the SMU game and a Black Friday matchup at Memphis.
I could do without the two Thursday night home games – those always negatively impact attendance – and I would prefer the off week to be a couple of weeks earlier, but really, there’s nothing horrible about this slate of games. I’m already penciling in roadies to San Marcos and Annapolis on my calendar.
Given last year’s success, there’s every reason to expect this fall to be a good one as well. I’m not going to go so far as to predict an undefeated season, however; Oklahoma is going to be tough, Central Florida and Tulane will probably be much improved this fall, and Cincinnati, Navy and Memphis will all be looking to exact revenge against Houston at home. There’s also the reality that the Cougars are losing a lot of talent from last year’s team on both sides of the ball.
That being said, it's hard not to be excited about the 2016 season, and the wait until September is going to be very agonizing!
Saturday, February 06, 2016
Tom Herman's impressive recruiting haul
With the caveat that I am skeptical of recruiting rankings because they tend to be biased in favor of "Power 5" schools - just look how the ratings of Bellaire's Courtney Lark and Manvel's D'Eriq King fell after they committed to University of Houston, as opposed to a P-5 school - I want to express my admiration and appreciation to head coach Tom Herman for bringing in the highest-rated recruiting class in program history last Wednesday. ESPN's Sam Khan, Jr. explains:
Obviously, getting these kids signed is just the first step in a process that includes their becoming and academically qualified, enrolled in school, and performing on the field. But if highly-ranked recruiting classes do correlate with success on the field, then the Cougars have a bright future ahead of them.
Which is why I just renewed my season tickets for 2016, even though kickoff is still over 200 days away.
The Cougars signed the nation's 30th-ranked recruiting class, the highest finish ever for a school outside of a power conference (Power 5 currently or BCS previously). Houston also became the first non-power conference program to sign a five-star recruit since ESPN began ranking recruits in 2006.Khan goes on to explain how Herman and his staff forged relationships with high school football players and their coaches, focused their efforts on the talent-rich Houston area, and refused to accept that they couldn't recruit top-quality athletes simply because they weren't a "Power 5" school:
Coming off a 13-1 season that included an American Athletic Conference championship, a win over Florida State in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl and a top-10 finish in the polls, it is yet another victory for Herman's budding power.
Still, without the resources and facilities afforded to Power 5 conference programs that battled with the Cougars for ESPN 300 recruits, how did the Cougars land their historic class?
When coaches were out in the city during the evaluation period, they feared no Power 5 program.UH's recruiting strategy seems very simple and logical, in theory. But it's not always easy to accomplish in practice; previous Cougar head coaches such as Art Briles (now head coach at Baylor) and Kevin Sumlin (now head coach at Texas A&M) never signed a class as talented as this one. But Herman and his staff were able to use this strategy to bring in a big "get" - a highly-rated, heavily-recruited five-star defensive tackle from Westfield High School by the name of Ed Oliver - and in turn build recruiting momentum:
"The mindset was we're going to go recruit these Houston-area guys and present something to them and not be afraid to compete against people for these local guys," offensive line coach Derek Warehime said.
Oliver valued the longstanding relationships he had and believed in the vision the staff sold. [Defensive line coach Oscar] Giles said Oliver called him often just to talk and he got to know Oliver's family well: "I knew who his girlfriend was, his brothers, mom, his great uncle...it was a relationship that was built over time."To be sure, the power schools of the SEC and Big 12 did not passively sit by while Herman and his staff made their recruiting push. The Washington Post's Chuck Culpepper explores how Houston had to stave off 'poachers:'
When Oliver verbally committed to the Cougars in May, there was no hat ceremony, no grand announcement on Twitter, just Oliver placing a phone call to the coaching staff. The news quickly spread, to the bewilderment of many who were surprised a prospect of that caliber pledged to a program in a non-power conference.
That moment, however, turned the "H-Town Takeover" from a simple hashtag and concept to a genuine, successful recruiting movement.
"I think it was like a big rock dropping into a big pool. Splash," Giles said. "Everybody knows the guy. They're like, 'They must be serious over there.' It gave us some credibility that we were doing it the right way."
Added [assistant coach Corby] Meekins: "That kind of broke the seal and made it OK to come here. When you get a player that's caliber and can go anywhere -- we have a lot of players in this class who could go anywhere -- but that made it OK."
That word can describe recruiters from other programs who, in the 147-year-old traditions of the sport, bring silver tongues and poaching arts and try to help players renege on prior commitments. That did foil Houston once, when the coveted Houstonian receiver Tyrie Cleveland changed his mind from Houston to sweet-talking, blue-blooded Florida, whose coaches jumped up and down upon learning the news.Other schools tried to sow doubt in the minds of Houston's commitments by using the by-now-tiresome trope that Herman would be leaving UH for a "bigger" program soon:
It did not derail Houston. Rivals ranked its class No. 44 in a sport with 65 top-tier programs. ESPN slotted it at No. 30. Representing the underlings fiercely, Houston held onto Ed Oliver, the Houstonian defensive tackle generally bestowed the ultimate five stars, and when Oliver didn’t budge, he became both the only one of Rivals’ top 100 players to sign with a Group of Five program, and the day’s biggest upset according to ESPN. Courtney Lark, the four-star receiver, also held firm to help redefine his hometown’s atmosphere.
For their second recruiting class, Herman and his staff had fostered relationships with their signees, then had gone 13-1 with a major bowl win.
“And I think what that was able to do, then, was to solidify our position a little bit when the poachers came calling,” Herman said.
They did come calling, and the process was “nerve-wracking,” Herman said.
The 40-year-old coach proclaimed a 7-1 record against Southeastern Conference poachers, even as every recruit asked Herman what every poacher put in every recruit’s mind: How long are you staying?Highly-rated local recruits looked at what the Cougars accomplished last season, and brought in to Herman's pitch.
“What I tell them is the truth,” he said, and then he went on a long, bountiful description of his pitch. It included that “in my opinion, the American Athletic Conference has undoubtedly separated itself from the other non-Power Five conferences” (what with Navy, Temple and Memphis also having successful seasons). It included a comparison of going 7-5 at some top-tier program — “It’s no fun going 7-5. It stinks, in fact. It’s really, really not fun” — set against this: “What’s really fun is when it feels like the whole city of Houston rushes onto the field, you’re kissing the trophy, holding it up, and there’s confetti falling, and you go to a New Year’s Six bowl game, and you’re playing one of the blue bloods, and you’re beating them by two touchdowns in the Peach Bowl.”
Obviously, getting these kids signed is just the first step in a process that includes their becoming and academically qualified, enrolled in school, and performing on the field. But if highly-ranked recruiting classes do correlate with success on the field, then the Cougars have a bright future ahead of them.
Which is why I just renewed my season tickets for 2016, even though kickoff is still over 200 days away.
Stupid journalist tricks
Transit consultant Jarrett Walker takes issue with a recent Los Angeles Times story regarding declining ridership on LA's public transportation network. While the drop-off in bus and rail boardings is a legitimate concern, especially given the amount of money LACMTA is investing in new rail lines, Walker argues that the story's writers, Laura Nelson and Dan Weikel, are making the problem appear worse than it seems by making two critical errors:
I completely understand the pressure for journalists to create a neat "story" that will generate all-important page views; as a commenter on Walker's blog says, "part of the problem with journalism is that you want to have a snappy headline. 'Transit Ridership Goes up and Down' won’t do it." However, journalists do a disservice when they use tricks such as the ones Walker identifies to exaggerate, or even fabricate, stories such as these. This is especially true of something as politically polarizing and as poorly understood as public transportation. Maybe it's another reason why journalism should come with warning labels.
In a second post, Walker takes issue with the same LA Times article for its apparent assumption that short-term ridership is the only worthwhile measurement of a transit system's success. In a third post, Walker picks apart a post by anti-transit extremist Randal O'Toole regarding LA's ridership decline; anybody who wants to understand why I, as a transportation planning professional, have very little respect or use for O'Toole and his screeds should read it.
- Using one or two data points to determine a "trend," and
- Using an arbitrary "starting year" as a point of comparison.
The chart in the article shows that ridership has been falling for one year, based on just one data point (Later in a Tweet, Nelson told me she had two data points, with ridership down in both calendar 2014 and ’15, but that’s not in the article or the chart.)
![]() |
| Los Angeles Times |
Based on these one or two points, the authors propose a vast and ominous trend:
The Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority, the region’s largest carrier, lost more than 10% of its boardings from 2006 to 2015, a decline that appears to be accelerating. Despite a $9-billion investment in new light rail and subway lines, Metro now has fewer boardings than it did three decades ago, when buses were the county’s only transit option.Accelerating? You need many data points to support this claim, because you are saying not just which way the line is going but also how it’s curving. What the published chart shows is that:
There’s a larger interesting story about the broad fall in ridership across the 90s and dramatic recovery across the 00s.
Ridership has been generally flat since 2006, going up and down in about a 10% band, with no sign of strong movement in any direction.
When a journalist says some grand thing has been happening since year y, you should immediately ask: “why year y in particular?” Again, here’s how the article opens:Indeed, you can create any story about ridership you want simply by choosing a "starting year" on the graph above: "This “arbitrary starting year” trick is a very common in misleading journalism. Be suspicious whenever you see a single past year is cited as a point of comparison."
For almost a decade, transit ridership has declined across Southern California despite enormous and costly efforts by top transportation officials to entice people out of their cars and onto buses and trains.Why “almost a decade”? Why not just a decade? Because if you compared 2015 to 2005 instead of 2006, ridership wouldn’t be down, and the authors wouldn’t have a story.
Sure, ridership is down 10% since 2006. But it’s up since 2011 and way up since 2004. Want to talk about the grand sweep of history? Nelson says that ridership is lower than it was 30 years ago, which sounds terrible, but it’s higher than it was 25 years ago!
I completely understand the pressure for journalists to create a neat "story" that will generate all-important page views; as a commenter on Walker's blog says, "part of the problem with journalism is that you want to have a snappy headline. 'Transit Ridership Goes up and Down' won’t do it." However, journalists do a disservice when they use tricks such as the ones Walker identifies to exaggerate, or even fabricate, stories such as these. This is especially true of something as politically polarizing and as poorly understood as public transportation. Maybe it's another reason why journalism should come with warning labels.
In a second post, Walker takes issue with the same LA Times article for its apparent assumption that short-term ridership is the only worthwhile measurement of a transit system's success. In a third post, Walker picks apart a post by anti-transit extremist Randal O'Toole regarding LA's ridership decline; anybody who wants to understand why I, as a transportation planning professional, have very little respect or use for O'Toole and his screeds should read it.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
College football stadiums I've visited
Since I'm still not ready for college football season to be over, I decided to make a list of all the FBS college football stadiums I've attended games in. (Hey, if I can do it for countries, I can also do it for stadiums!)
Astrikethrough means that the stadium no longer exists or is no longer in use. An asterisk (*) means that the stadium has been expanded or renovated since I've visited.
Alamodome, San Antonio TX (UTSA Roadrunners)
Amon Carter Stadium*, Fort Worth TX (TCU Horned Frogs, Armed Forces Bowl)
Apogee Stadium, Denton TX (North Texas Mean Green)
Astrodome, Houston TX (Houston Cougars, Houston Bowl)
Brighthouse Networks Stadium, Orlando FL (Central Florida Golden Knights)
Cajun Field, Lafayette LA (Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas TX (Texas Longhorns/Oklahoma Sooners)
Darrell K Royal - Texas Memorial Stadium*, Austin TX (Texas Longhorns)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium*, Greenville NC (East Carolina Pirates)
Fouts Field, Denton TX (North Texas Mean Green)
Georgia Dome, Atlanta GA (Peach Bowl)
Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Highland Park TX (SMU Mustangs)
Hughes Stadium, Fort Collins CO (Colorado State Rams)
Kyle Field*, College Station TX (Texas A&M Aggies)
Liberty Bowl, Memphis TN (Liberty Bowl)
Michie Stadium, West Point NY (Army Black Knights)
NRG (Reliant) Stadium, Houston TX (Houston Cougars, Rice Owls, Texas Bowl)
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium*, Norman OK (Oklahoma Sooners)
Rice Stadium, Houston TX (Rice Owls)
Robertson Stadium, Houston TX (Houston Cougars)
Rose Bowl, Pasadena CA (UCLA Bruins)
Superdome, New Orleans LA (Tulane Green Wave, New Orleans Bowl)
TDECU Stadium, Houston TX (Houston Cougars)
Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge LA (Louisiana State Tigers)
Although it does stretch from stadiums in Florida to New York to Los Angeles, this is really not that long of a list, all things considered. Between 128 FBS teams, neutral site stadiums and bowl stadiums, there are probably somewhere around 150 stadiums where top-level college football is played on a regular basis. I've visited 24, and three of those no longer exist or are operation. Furthermore, several of these venues have been extensively renovated since I last visited them; A&M's Kyle Field and TCU's Amon Carter Stadium are essentially different structures today than when I was last there. As much of a college football fan as I am, I need to make more roadtrips.
With that said, this list continues to grow. Last year I added LSU's Tiger Stadium and the Georgia Dome to this list. This fall I'm going to try to add Texas State's Bobcat Stadium and, hopefully, Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to the list.
A
Alamodome, San Antonio TX (UTSA Roadrunners)
Amon Carter Stadium*, Fort Worth TX (TCU Horned Frogs, Armed Forces Bowl)
Apogee Stadium, Denton TX (North Texas Mean Green)
Brighthouse Networks Stadium, Orlando FL (Central Florida Golden Knights)
Cajun Field, Lafayette LA (Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas TX (Texas Longhorns/Oklahoma Sooners)
Darrell K Royal - Texas Memorial Stadium*, Austin TX (Texas Longhorns)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium*, Greenville NC (East Carolina Pirates)
Georgia Dome, Atlanta GA (Peach Bowl)
Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Highland Park TX (SMU Mustangs)
Hughes Stadium, Fort Collins CO (Colorado State Rams)
Kyle Field*, College Station TX (Texas A&M Aggies)
Liberty Bowl, Memphis TN (Liberty Bowl)
Michie Stadium, West Point NY (Army Black Knights)
NRG (Reliant) Stadium, Houston TX (Houston Cougars, Rice Owls, Texas Bowl)
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium*, Norman OK (Oklahoma Sooners)
Rice Stadium, Houston TX (Rice Owls)
Rose Bowl, Pasadena CA (UCLA Bruins)
Superdome, New Orleans LA (Tulane Green Wave, New Orleans Bowl)
TDECU Stadium, Houston TX (Houston Cougars)
Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge LA (Louisiana State Tigers)
Although it does stretch from stadiums in Florida to New York to Los Angeles, this is really not that long of a list, all things considered. Between 128 FBS teams, neutral site stadiums and bowl stadiums, there are probably somewhere around 150 stadiums where top-level college football is played on a regular basis. I've visited 24, and three of those no longer exist or are operation. Furthermore, several of these venues have been extensively renovated since I last visited them; A&M's Kyle Field and TCU's Amon Carter Stadium are essentially different structures today than when I was last there. As much of a college football fan as I am, I need to make more roadtrips.
With that said, this list continues to grow. Last year I added LSU's Tiger Stadium and the Georgia Dome to this list. This fall I'm going to try to add Texas State's Bobcat Stadium and, hopefully, Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to the list.
My iPhone's top 20
I did this five years ago, so I thought it would be interesting to take another tally of the songs I listen to most frequently on my iPhone (which has replaced my iPod Nano as my portable repository of music about four years ago).
It appears as if my musical tastes remain pretty eclectic but are dominated by 80s and 90s electronica. Twelve of these songs were in my top 20 of five years ago (2010 ranking in parentheses), which means I obviously enjoy listening to them. It also might suggest that I need to start listening to some new music...
1. Ride a White Horse - Goldfrapp (Supernature, 2006, Mute/Universal Music)
2. Home - Erasure (Chorus, 1991, Sire) (#13)
3. That Smiling Face - Camouflage (Voice and Images, 1988, Atlantic)
4. Burst Generator - The Chemical Brothers (We Are The Night, 2007, Australwerks/EMI) (#4)
5. Looking at You - Sunscreem (Looking at you: Club Anthems, 1998, Centaur Entertainment)
6. Let Forever Be - The Chemical Brothers (Surrender, 1999, Australwerks) (#8)
7. Life Is Sweet - The Chemical Brothers (Exit Planet Dust, 1995, Australwerks)
8. Hysteria - Def Leppard (Hysteria, 1987, Mercury)
9. Blissed - Jesus Jones (Doubt, 1991, SBK) (#1)
10. Sometimes [Erasure/Flood Two Ring Circus Remix] - Erasure (The Two Ring Circus, 1987, Sire)
11. Rolling in the Deep - Adele (21, 2011, Columbia/XL)
12. Big Time Sensuality (The Fluke Minimix) - Bjork (Big Time Sensuality EP, 1993, Elektra) (#12)
13. Primary - The Cure (Faith, 1981, Elektra) (#2)
14. Destroy Everything You Touch - Ladytron (Witching Hour, 2005, So Sweet) (#15)
15. Thank U - Alanis Morissette (Supposed Former Infatuation Junkie, 1998, Maverick/Reprise) (#7)
16. Lightning Blue Eyes - Secret Machines (Ten Silver Drops, 2006, Reprise)
17. Love U More - Sunscreem (03, 1993, Columbia) (#3)
18. Space Age Love Song - A Flock of Seagulls (A Flock of Seagulls, 1982, Jive) (#18)
19. Imagination - Xymox (Twist of Shadows, 1989, Wing) (#21)
20. Four Leaf Clover - Abra Moore (Strangest Places, 1997, Arista) (#6)
It appears as if my musical tastes remain pretty eclectic but are dominated by 80s and 90s electronica. Twelve of these songs were in my top 20 of five years ago (2010 ranking in parentheses), which means I obviously enjoy listening to them. It also might suggest that I need to start listening to some new music...
1. Ride a White Horse - Goldfrapp (Supernature, 2006, Mute/Universal Music)
2. Home - Erasure (Chorus, 1991, Sire) (#13)
3. That Smiling Face - Camouflage (Voice and Images, 1988, Atlantic)
4. Burst Generator - The Chemical Brothers (We Are The Night, 2007, Australwerks/EMI) (#4)
5. Looking at You - Sunscreem (Looking at you: Club Anthems, 1998, Centaur Entertainment)
6. Let Forever Be - The Chemical Brothers (Surrender, 1999, Australwerks) (#8)
7. Life Is Sweet - The Chemical Brothers (Exit Planet Dust, 1995, Australwerks)
8. Hysteria - Def Leppard (Hysteria, 1987, Mercury)
9. Blissed - Jesus Jones (Doubt, 1991, SBK) (#1)
10. Sometimes [Erasure/Flood Two Ring Circus Remix] - Erasure (The Two Ring Circus, 1987, Sire)
11. Rolling in the Deep - Adele (21, 2011, Columbia/XL)
12. Big Time Sensuality (The Fluke Minimix) - Bjork (Big Time Sensuality EP, 1993, Elektra) (#12)
13. Primary - The Cure (Faith, 1981, Elektra) (#2)
14. Destroy Everything You Touch - Ladytron (Witching Hour, 2005, So Sweet) (#15)
15. Thank U - Alanis Morissette (Supposed Former Infatuation Junkie, 1998, Maverick/Reprise) (#7)
16. Lightning Blue Eyes - Secret Machines (Ten Silver Drops, 2006, Reprise)
17. Love U More - Sunscreem (03, 1993, Columbia) (#3)
18. Space Age Love Song - A Flock of Seagulls (A Flock of Seagulls, 1982, Jive) (#18)
19. Imagination - Xymox (Twist of Shadows, 1989, Wing) (#21)
20. Four Leaf Clover - Abra Moore (Strangest Places, 1997, Arista) (#6)
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